Labour landslide projected with dozens of Tory-held seats on knife-edge

Data showing 15% swing away from Conservatives since 2019 likely to stoke party’s fears of ‘extinction-level event’ at general election

UK election live – latest updates

Labour is heading for a landslide win in the election, according to a new projection, but more than 100 Conservative-held seats appear to be on a knife-edge with the results in the hands of millions of undecided or swing voters.

In its first MRP model of the 2024 general election, Ipsos estimated Labour could win 453 seats and the Conservatives 115, giving Keir Starmer’s party a majority of 256 and inflicting the Tories’ worst ever defeat.

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