Russia-Ukraine war live: air raid alarms sound in Kyiv and Kherson; Bakhmut reaching stalemate, say US thinktank

Residents urged to head to shelters amid warnings of strikes; Institute for the Study of war says Russia’n forces in Bakhmut have likely ‘culminated’

Russia-Ukraine war at a glance

The head of Ukraine’s military intelligence agency, Kyrylo Budanov, has made a similar claim to what the Institute for the Study of War had to say about Bakhmut, though he has widened it to the whole country.

Budanov says that fighting in Ukraine is at a deadlock, as neither Ukraine nor Russia is able to make significant advances.

US military doctrine defines culmination as the “point at which a force no longer has the capability to continue its form of operations, offense or defense,” and “when a force cannot continue the attack and must assume a defensive posture or execute an operational pause.” If Russian forces in Bakhmut have indeed culminated, they may nevertheless continue to attack aggressively. Culminated Russian forces may continue to conduct ineffective squad-sized assaults against Bakhmut, though these assaults would be very unlikely to make operationally significant gains.

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