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The Russian military will probably launch a renewed offensive, the Ministry of Defence (MoD) has said, as officials concluded it was “highly unlikely” the Kremlin had successfully achieved its invasion plan so far. An MoD intelligence update said:
Russian ground forces continue to make limited progress. Logistical issues that have hampered the Russian advance persist, as does strong Ukrainian resistance.
Russia is likely seeking to reset and re-posture its forces for renewed offensive activity in the coming days. This will probably include operations against the capital Kyiv.
The stuff which your are hearing about chemical weapons is straight out of the Russian playbook.
They start saying that there are chemical weapons that are being stored by their opponents or by the Americans, so that when they themselves deploy chemical weapons – as I fear they may – they have a sort of a maskirovka, a fake story, ready to go.
Vladimir Putin has himself made it very difficult to find an off ramp, and he has, I think, driven his tank, so to speak, down a cul de sac from which it will be very hard to extricate himself but he must.
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